The board — Friday, October 30, 2026
Every game on today's slate: the model's favorite, its confidence, the best price across the books, and the prediction markets' contract price. It's amber when the contract costs less than the books' own fair value, which is a real disagreement rather than the house's cut. (Contracts carry fees and tie up your money until settlement, so amber is a prompt to look, not a free lunch.) Each confidence figure comes with what that price needs to break even — bet it all season and you'd have to win that often just to end level. Most days the price asks for more than the model gives, and that gap is the house's cut. Every call gets graded here when games go final.
LINE CHECK
odds pulled 10:35 PM ET
· every 30 min, 7:05 AM–10:35 PM · next 7:05 AM
NHL 3 games
| Time | Game | Model favorite | Confidence | Moneyline | Markets | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:08 PM | New Jersey Devils @ Vegas Golden Knights Devils @ Golden Knights Golden Knights −1.5 · O/U 6.5 | Vegas Golden Knights Golden Knights | 51.1% needs 51.9% | -108 Novig | 52¢ Kalshi | 5-2 ✗ |
| 7:08 PM | Winnipeg Jets @ Florida Panthers Jets @ Panthers Panthers −1.5 · O/U 6.5 | Florida Panthers Panthers | 65.8% needs 66.6% | -199 Novig | 66¢ Kalshi | 2-5 ✓ |
| 8:08 PM | Seattle Kraken @ Calgary Flames Kraken @ Flames Kraken −1.5 · O/U 6.5 | Seattle Kraken Kraken | 51.1% needs 50.0% | +100 Novig | 50¢ Kalshi | result pending |
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College Football 3 games
| Time | Game | Model favorite | Confidence | Moneyline | Markets | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:06 PM | Tulane Green Wave @ Charlotte 49ers Tulane @ Charlotte Tulane −7.5 · O/U 47.5 | Tulane Green Wave Tulane | 73.4% needs 74.5% | -292 Novig | — | result pending |
| 7:35 PM | Baylor Bears @ UCF Knights Baylor @ UCF Baylor −2.5 · O/U 49.5 | Baylor Bears Baylor | 55.6% needs 55.9% | -127 Novig | — | in play |
| 10:40 PM | Kent State Golden Flashes @ Sacramento State Hornets Kent State @ Sacramento State Kent State −7.5 · O/U 47.5 | Kent State Golden Flashes Kent State | 71.4% needs 72.6% | -265 FanDuel | — | in play |
NBA 10 games
| Time | Game | Model favorite | Confidence | Moneyline | Markets | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:11 PM | Charlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards Hornets @ Wizards Hornets −1.5 · O/U 218.5 | Charlotte Hornets Hornets | 51.1% needs 51.2% | -105 Caesars | 50¢ Kalshi | 79-95 ✗ |
| 7:41 PM | Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics Bulls @ Celtics Celtics −14.5 · O/U 236.5 | Boston Celtics Celtics | 85.3% needs 86.0% | -614 Novig | 86¢ Kalshi | 111-125 ✓ |
| 7:41 PM | Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Pistons @ Nets Pistons −7.5 · O/U 221.5 | Detroit Pistons Pistons | 72.6% needs 74.0% | -285 Novig | 73¢ Kalshi | 110-94 ✓ |
| 7:42 PM | Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors Magic @ Raptors Raptors −5.5 · O/U 227.5 | Toronto Raptors Raptors | 65.8% needs 66.6% | -199 Novig | 66¢ Kalshi | 121-114 ✗ |
| 7:43 PM | New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers Knicks @ 76ers Knicks −3.5 · O/U 224.5 | New York Knicks Knicks | 58.0% needs 58.5% | -141 Novig | 58¢ Kalshi | 93-98 ✗ |
| 8:10 PM | Los Angeles Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves Clippers @ Timberwolves Timberwolves −6.5 · O/U 222.5 | Minnesota Timberwolves Timberwolves | 69.1% needs 69.5% | -228 Novig | 70¢ Kalshi | result pending |
| 8:11 PM | Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks Rockets @ Mavericks Rockets −5.5 · O/U 223.5 | Houston Rockets Rockets | 64.6% needs 66.2% | -196 FanDuel | 66¢ Kalshi | result pending |
| 8:11 PM | Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat Pacers @ Heat Heat −8.5 · O/U 236.5 | Miami Heat Heat | 73.4% needs 73.5% | -277 Novig | 73¢ Kalshi | result pending |
| 10:10 PM | Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Nuggets @ Suns Nuggets −4.5 · O/U 231.5 | Denver Nuggets Nuggets | 61.5% needs 62.0% | -163 Novig | 62¢ Kalshi | in play |
| 10:12 PM | Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Lakers @ Warriors Lakers −2.5 · O/U 234.5 | Los Angeles Lakers Lakers | 56.6% needs 56.5% | -130 Novig | 56¢ Kalshi | in play |
Want the full history? The record — every call we've ever published, graded automatically.